Will the Housing Market Maintain Its Momentum?

Last week’s Existing Home Sales Report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) shows sales have dropped 3.7% compared to the month before. This is the second consecutive month that sales have slumped. Some see this as evidence that the red- hot real estate market may be cooling. However, there could also be a simple explanation as to why existing homes sales have slowed- there are not enough homes to buy. There are currently 410,000 fewer single family homes availed than there were at this time last year.

Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR, explains in the report:

“The sales for March would have been measurably higher, had there been more inventory, Days-on-market are swift, multiple offers are prevalent, and buyer confidence is rising.”

Yun’s insight was supported the next day when the Census Bureau released its Monthly New residential Sales Report. It shows that newly constructed home sales are up by 20.7% over the previous month.

Buyer demand remains strong. With more of the adult population becoming vaccinated and job creation data showing encouraging signs, existing- home inventory is expected to grown in the coming months.

What will this bean for homes sales going forward?

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) have all forecasted that total home sales (exist homes and new constriction ) will continue their momentum both this year and next. Here’s a graph showing those projections:

Bottom Line

Living through a pandemic has caused many to re-evaluate the importance of home and the value of homeownership. The residential real estate market will benefit from both as we move forward.

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